NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c52f6770e1c03c065fe08173e15d3ed3d0cb13550c3fc96f9e7bb84ffe3a589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,170,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,168,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,170,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks | 69c | 143,487$99,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,320.85 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 38c | 120,061$45,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,407.35 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Celtics | 23c | 77,273$17,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,695.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 13c | 51,525$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,691.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Celtics | 16c | 40,740$6,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 70c | 39,148$27,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,595.66 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Celtics | 53c | 39,000$20,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,579.99 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Celtics | 22c | 34,898$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,806.62 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Celtics | 21c | 29,550$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,086.14 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Knicks | 79c | 28,592$22,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,932.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Celtics | 26c | 22,022$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.27 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed Knicks | 75c | 21,210$15,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Celtics | 29c | 17,402$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Knicks | 76c | 17,300$13,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.13 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Celtics | 70c | 16,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Knicks | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,049.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Knicks | 73c | 13,161$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Celtics | 18c | 12,733$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.43 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Knicks | 70c | 12,455$8,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Celtics | 75c | 12,398$9,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 46c | 11,327$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.02 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Knicks | 24c | 11,297$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks | 78c | 10,578$8,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.18 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 75c | 10,250$7,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.54 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Celtics | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Knicks | 14c | 8,767$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 32c | 8,737$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.34 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…7a4cbacked Celtics | 53c | 8,636$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Knicks | 54c | 8,271$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.59 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Celtics | 31c | 8,151$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.3 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Knicks | 28c | 8,060$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Celtics | 27c | 7,385$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.05 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 25c | 7,355$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.43 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Celtics | 17c | 7,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Knicks | 48c | 6,990$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 17c | 6,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Celtics | 15c | 6,370$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.51 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Celtics | 27c | 5,930$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.13 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics | 21c | 5,490$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.42 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Celtics | 18c | 5,450$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.92 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Celtics | 18c | 5,389$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.05 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Knicks | 48c | 5,198$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.95 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 50c | 5,074$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.81 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 48c | 5,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Knicks | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Knicks | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Knicks | 49c | 4,850$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Knicks | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.69 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…0d97backed Celtics | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Knicks | 78c | 3,425$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…4320backed Celtics | 76c | 3,366$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Knicks | 42c | 3,361$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.89 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…be8abacked Knicks | 30c | 3,330$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 53c | 3,287$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.81 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Celtics | 1c | 3,194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Celtics | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Knicks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Knicks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Celtics | 74c | 2,984$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.17 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…4bcebacked Knicks | 50c | 2,967$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.69 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Celtics | 75c | 2,623$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 28c | 2,604$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.91 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 20c | 2,561$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.35 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Celtics | 26c | 2,427$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.91 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Celtics | 76c | 2,352$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks | 51c | 2,340$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.55 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…f59ebacked Celtics | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Celtics | 26c | 2,205$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…877cbacked Knicks | 48c | 2,053$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Knicks | 74c | 2,036$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Knicks | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.93 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Knicks | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Knicks | 70c | 1,943$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…8ba5backed Knicks | 40c | 1,895$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Knicks | 36c | 1,820$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.18 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knicks | 38c | 1,800$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.73 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…c2cabacked Celtics | 42c | 1,786$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Celtics | 16c | 1,620$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Knicks | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Knicks | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Celtics | 15c | 1,506$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Knicks | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Celtics | 2c | 1,451$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Celtics | 17c | 1,450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Celtics | 76c | 1,450$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Knicks | 25c | 1,415$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.62 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Celtics | 72c | 1,409$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.4 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…c64dbacked Knicks | 73c | 1,387$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Knicks | 71c | 1,387$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.33 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…75b1backed Knicks | 74c | 1,342$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Knicks | 71c | 1,326$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks | 28c | 1,255$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.89 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Celtics | 27c | 1,223$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Celtics | 15c | 1,223$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Knicks | 13c | 1,201$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Knicks | 73c | 1,164$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Celtics | 70c | 1,092$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Knicks | 52c | 1,072$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Knicks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.