TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x363a…df44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.75
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,146.92
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,385.58
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$231
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$2,924.25
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$3,942.62
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,038.12
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,535.8
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+165.2%+$1,455.04
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,500
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$9,000
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.64
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,814.84
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$2,521.09
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$800.84
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4,295.69
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,654Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$4,254.28
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$374
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$577.37
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+203%+$2,033.11
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Pistons (To Advance)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.04
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$302.69
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$54.55
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.74
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$203.12
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.74
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$88
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 November 24-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$168
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$360
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+194.1%+$396
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+632.2%+$403.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$599.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$430.7
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$297
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$63.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$57.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+203%+$201
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.34
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+163.2%+$80.6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$807.26
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$112.78
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+223.7%+$622
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$139
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+148.4%+$836.5
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$418
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$99.2
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+270.4%+$292
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$139.21
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.49
Dogecoin above $0.24 on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$315.42
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$460.38
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,366Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$4,390.56
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$81.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,063.11
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$184.68
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$47.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.