NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f4deb24ebb0b924d9531d239d62e2b18230c3f74d8b789735651a729cb662c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,468,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,341,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,468,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Nuggets | 21c | 418,103$87,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,752.98 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nuggets | 20c | 350,327$68,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,898.99 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 79c | 179,988$142,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,997.44 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Nuggets | 22c | 133,445$29,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,957.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 72c | 133,068$96,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,820.65 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 25c | 106,309$26,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,426.17 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…1e2abacked Nuggets | 2c | 100,105$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Nuggets | 22c | 94,337$21,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,104.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Thunder | 78c | 72,267$56,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,898.83 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nuggets | 21c | 66,930$14,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,034.43 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 77c | 60,460$46,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,698.66 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Thunder | 61c | 58,329$35,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,468.56 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Nuggets | 23c | 57,836$13,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,276.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 19c | 55,671$10,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,667.69 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 55c | 45,769$25,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,612.44 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 20c | 38,957$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Thunder | 79c | 34,897$27,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,328.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 79c | 30,499$24,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 20c | 30,094$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.03 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nuggets | 18c | 30,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 79c | 28,535$22,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.4 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 54c | 28,373$15,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,987.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 79c | 23,128$18,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.8 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nuggets | 20c | 20,000$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…49bebacked Nuggets | 0c | 19,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 71c | 18,844$13,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.89 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 56c | 18,679$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.37 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 79c | 18,121$14,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.57 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…ed7bbacked Nuggets | 61c | 18,096$11,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,111.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Thunder | 80c | 16,814$13,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.76 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 20c | 16,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 79c | 16,000$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 22c | 15,747$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.38 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nuggets | 26c | 15,544$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.98 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…c201backed Nuggets | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Nuggets | 21c | 14,545$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Nuggets | 18c | 13,971$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…9ff3backed Nuggets | 22c | 12,467$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Nuggets | 23c | 12,440$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.97 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 27c | 12,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Nuggets | 42c | 11,605$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.71 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 45c | 11,371$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.47 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…12c9backed Nuggets | 64c | 10,187$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a331backed Nuggets | 44c | 10,187$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nuggets | 44c | 10,049$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 27c | 10,012$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.48 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 22c | 10,003$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.7 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 78c | 9,926$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.58 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 20c | 9,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 20c | 9,400$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nuggets | 25c | 8,749$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 25c | 8,666$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.62 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 35c | 8,664$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Nuggets | 22c | 8,255$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.49 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 19c | 8,100$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nuggets | 24c | 8,005$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.4 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Nuggets | 37c | 8,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Thunder | 77c | 7,787$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 52c | 7,498$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Nuggets | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Thunder | 58c | 7,074$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.83 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Nuggets | 60c | 6,646$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Thunder | 80c | 6,637$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Nuggets | 32c | 6,634$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder | 79c | 6,118$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.72 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Nuggets | 40c | 5,616$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 69c | 5,565$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,476$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Thunder | 80c | 5,300$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Nuggets | 19c | 5,264$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Nuggets | 28c | 5,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Nuggets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Nuggets | 41c | 4,927$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Nuggets | 41c | 4,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Nuggets | 42c | 4,830$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 16c | 4,589$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.71 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Nuggets | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 72c | 4,472$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.68 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Thunder | 69c | 4,264$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.98 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,223$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.95 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nuggets | 20c | 4,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nuggets | 19c | 4,000$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Thunder | 43c | 3,900$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Thunder | 77c | 3,766$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.24 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,701$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.78 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Nuggets | 1c | 3,382$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Nuggets | 2c | 3,375$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 60c | 3,220$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.82 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,218$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.45 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Thunder | 79c | 3,200$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 23c | 3,098$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.38 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,083$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.65 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Thunder | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…72a4backed Nuggets | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunderthis page
- Over 217.5Under won
- Over 219.5Under won
- Over 222.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.