TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93fc…34b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT4025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,567.02
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38,996.33
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46,199.81
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,875.7
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16,350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$18,649.98
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17,400
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,997.44
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,200
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,732.27
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,953.86
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,814.98
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17,199.97
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58,212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+150.3%+$87,467.98
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,500
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,780.63
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,020
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,000
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,167.78
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,600
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+203%+$26,799.84
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,599.88
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16,499.99
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$482.54
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12,160
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,999.97
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156,045.32
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$138,517
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,559.57
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55,025.57
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39,849.92
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$20,036.31
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Kara-France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,199.98
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$10,000
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+150%+$6,750
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+109.9%+$15,915.95
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42,351.56
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,960
Moreno vs. Ercegbacked Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,400
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,987Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$13,155.4
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20,787.55
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Covington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$9,848.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103,011Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$79,698.71
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30,167.99
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,111.94
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,360.77
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,019.98
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,061.25
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35,099.99
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Canadiens (To Advance)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,700
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,800.01
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24,861Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22,056.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31,395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+125.3%+$39,335.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. G2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,086.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120,809.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.