NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c9a7bf61a12a9e161338e492596e8eed3759b941af6e0fdb92eab6e8a35bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,409,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,556,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,409,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 693 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Celtics | 42c | 385,282$161,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,090.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Celtics | 26c | 284,912$74,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,692.51 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Celtics | 43c | 144,245$61,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,382.69 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Knicks | 57c | 117,408$66,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,491.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Knicks | 59c | 98,563$57,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,667.26 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks | 66c | 95,552$63,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,062.08 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks | 57c | 79,776$45,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,303.66 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks | 57c | 79,350$45,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,858.3 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 43c | 77,663$33,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,671.9 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Celtics | 44c | 76,000$33,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,440 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 56c | 70,000$39,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,633.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Knicks | 58c | 60,100$35,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,035 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Celtics | 3c | 55,000$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks | 57c | 50,806$29,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,632.44 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Celtics | 1c | 50,435$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Celtics | 31c | 49,986$15,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,495.66 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Knicks | 56c | 46,140$25,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,190.17 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Celtics | 44c | 42,655$18,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,768 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Knicks | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.97 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Knicks | 58c | 37,133$21,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,595.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Knicks | 56c | 35,337$19,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,559.43 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Celtics | 43c | 35,018$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Celtics | 0c | 30,025$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 3c | 30,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Celtics | 3c | 28,808$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.05 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Celtics | 43c | 27,272$11,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,671.7 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 56c | 24,755$13,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,892.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Celtics | 1c | 21,313$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Celtics | 44c | 19,048$8,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,372.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks | 57c | 18,300$10,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 43c | 18,046$7,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,719.87 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Knicks | 57c | 15,759$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.18 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Knicks | 77c | 15,647$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.49 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Knicks | 67c | 15,217$10,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.74 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 59c | 14,248$8,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794.17 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Knicks | 57c | 13,552$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.26 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ab05backed Knicks | 58c | 13,090$7,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Celtics | 43c | 12,635$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Knicks | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…454bbacked Celtics | 43c | 12,329$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 57c | 11,919$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Celtics | 1c | 11,650$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 57c | 10,137$5,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.15 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Knicks | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Celtics | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Celtics | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Knicks | 56c | 9,733$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.59 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 74c | 9,580$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 57c | 9,025$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.49 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks | 57c | 9,000$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.67 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Knicks | 58c | 9,000$5,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks | 57c | 8,762$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 44c | 8,674$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.41 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Celtics | 0c | 8,162$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Knicks | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks | 57c | 7,955$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.65 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Knicks | 58c | 7,764$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Celtics | 39c | 7,680$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Celtics | 0c | 7,524$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Knicks | 57c | 7,021$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.87 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Celtics | 44c | 6,941$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks | 67c | 6,683$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.04 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 71c | 6,540$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 75c | 6,501$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.82 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks | 61c | 6,468$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.9 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Celtics | 43c | 6,174$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.98 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Knicks | 58c | 6,034$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.48 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Knicks | 79c | 5,729$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.72 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 57c | 5,530$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 32c | 5,390$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Knicks | 65c | 5,379$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Knicks | 57c | 5,288$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.89 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Celtics | 44c | 5,216$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.03 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Knicks | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Celtics | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Celtics | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.98 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Celtics | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.81 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Celtics | 43c | 4,605$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.17 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.09 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 74c | 4,406$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Knicks | 58c | 4,402$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.64 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Knicks | 58c | 4,200$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Celtics | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks | 80c | 3,956$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.69 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Knicks | 56c | 3,765$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Knicks | 56c | 3,739$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Knicks | 56c | 3,561$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec0…08ecbacked Celtics | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Knicks | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 1c | 3,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…3857backed Celtics | 9c | 3,296$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Celtics | 43c | 3,081$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.81 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Celtics | 9c | 3,031$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Celtics | 45c | 3,026$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.28 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…bde0backed Celtics | 44c | 3,014$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Celtics | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Knicks | 57c | 2,992$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.64 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicksthis page
- Over 205.5Under won
- Over 208.5Under won
- Over 209.5Under won
- Over 210.5Under won
- Over 211.5Under won
- Over 212.5Under won
- Over 213.5Under won
- Over 215.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.