TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee1f…9ced

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT12229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,669.5%+$18,870.16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.81
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.62
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.86
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,291.48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.28
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.61
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,526.78
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.44
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.3
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.32
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$918.84
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,620.84
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$690
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$431.19
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$355
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$164.41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$62.16
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$346.29
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,236.95
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$124.85
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$251.02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$725.94
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$356.59
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$350.43
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$566.49
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$247.8
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$465.78
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,130.17
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$499.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST120%0 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.95
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.72
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.39
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.75
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.34
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.