NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed03f3ce62f25fc0115da507a2d2c4abf3445d1c7225fefa8b47da0f87206848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,152,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,359,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,152,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 0c | 386,403$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.78 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers | 32c | 307,798$99,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,950.76 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 34c | 262,551$89,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,726.41 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Thunder | 65c | 258,208$167,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,945.22 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Pacers | 33c | 247,699$81,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,958.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Thunder | 54c | 208,210$112,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,870.39 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 66c | 167,539$110,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,470.41 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Pacers | 34c | 109,000$37,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,929.99 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Thunder | 65c | 97,000$63,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,011.87 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 67c | 82,000$54,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,940 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 66c | 73,715$48,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,824.71 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 68c | 72,148$48,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,930.5 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Thunder | 19c | 71,873$13,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,731.91 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pacers | 42c | 59,269$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,269.16 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Thunder | 43c | 52,500$22,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,538.78 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Thunder | 70c | 47,315$33,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,112.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Pacers | 78c | 46,470$36,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,235.84 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 21c | 45,000$9,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,542.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Thunder | 13c | 41,850$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 33c | 41,571$13,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,806.82 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 57c | 36,049$20,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,651.41 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pacers | 34c | 35,250$11,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,265 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers | 31c | 33,940$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,418.53 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Thunder | 67c | 32,240$21,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600.8 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 66c | 30,239$19,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,957.65 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 66c | 29,850$19,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,576.63 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…fd43backed Thunder | 66c | 29,658$19,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,574.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 62c | 29,272$18,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,273.09 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 48c | 28,871$13,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,847.1 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Pacers | 67c | 28,470$19,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.31 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 66c | 28,287$18,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,571.81 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Thunder | 69c | 28,128$19,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,281.84 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 33c | 24,296$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,278.32 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Pacers | 31c | 23,859$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,462.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers | 61c | 23,600$14,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,254.32 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers | 34c | 23,317$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed Thunder | 66c | 21,801$14,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,459.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Thunder | 1c | 21,311$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Thunder | 0c | 21,277$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pacers | 33c | 20,531$6,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,755.82 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Thunder | 44c | 20,500$9,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,109.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Thunder | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pacers | 31c | 19,017$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,122.9 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…7292backed Thunder | 69c | 18,981$13,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,096.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 47c | 18,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed Thunder | 45c | 17,778$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pacers | 34c | 17,000$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,220 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 32c | 16,997$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,517.25 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pacers | 52c | 16,787$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Pacers | 34c | 16,784$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,077.64 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 41c | 16,259$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,560.6 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 47c | 15,666$7,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,251.51 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Pacers | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Thunder | 68c | 15,000$10,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,170 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Pacers | 32c | 14,651$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.99 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38c9…776abacked Thunder | 0c | 14,240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 62c | 14,167$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Thunder | 0c | 13,640$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Pacers | 34c | 12,572$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Thunder | 2c | 12,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Thunder | 69c | 11,951$8,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,246.17 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Thunder | 0c | 11,935$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Pacers | 34c | 11,543$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,618.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Thunder | 27c | 10,962$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.25 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Thunder | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Pacers | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…68a4backed Thunder | 24c | 9,132$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Thunder | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Thunder | 58c | 7,846$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Thunder | 66c | 7,709$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.99 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…e7d8backed Thunder | 66c | 7,489$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Pacers | 34c | 7,048$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.6 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 34c | 6,894$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.12 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 66c | 6,461$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.25 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Thunder | 6c | 6,398$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Thunder | 23c | 6,202$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.82 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pacers | 35c | 6,161$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.67 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Thunder | 69c | 6,118$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Pacers | 49c | 6,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…65a5backed Thunder | 9c | 5,833$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Thunder | 64c | 5,784$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.48 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Thunder | 69c | 5,396$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Thunder | 1c | 5,318$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Thunder | 66c | 5,256$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Pacers | 32c | 5,050$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Pacers | 55c | 5,045$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.21 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 35c | 5,022$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.08 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Thunder | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 32c | 4,929$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Thunder | 29c | 4,697$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pacers | 34c | 4,663$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.58 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Thunder | 26c | 4,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 34c | 4,482$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.65 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Thunder | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Thunder | 9c | 4,412$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Thunder | 67c | 4,393$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pacersthis page
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Pacers won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.