TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67b5…9f1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,516.3
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$935.02
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.7
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$2,235.21
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.7
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,401.76
Rays vs. Metsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$395.06
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.05
Twins vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+86.8%+$25.42
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.89
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$217.85
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$182.26
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$158.57
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.5
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+161.1%+$175.31
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$289.82
Diamondbacks vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.24
Rangers vs. Raysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.67
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$135.19
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$525.12
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$160.66
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.72
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+188.6%+$2,287.12
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST2937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+25%+$16.4
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC Westbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$22.1
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+51.5%+$7.82
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$58.91
Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$88.5
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.3
Scorigami in Week 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+50.4%+$70.72
Polymarket Parlay: NFL Week 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$109.5
Falcons vs. Chiefsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$95.29
Rams vs. 49ersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$126.78
Seahawks vs. Dolphinsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$27.54
Browns vs. Giantsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.57
Vikings vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.84
Buccaneers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$105
Saints vs. Eaglesbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.87
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.32
Eagles vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+221.9%+$46.87
Texans vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$297.07
Chiefs vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$131.37
Will the Chiefs beat the Bengals by 6 or more points?backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$74.25
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$123.44
Scorigami in NFL Week 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.12
Patriots vs. Seahawksbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.8
Lions vs. Buccaneersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.35
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+82.6%+$22.52
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$242.07
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+224.6%+$484.37
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$847.09
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$157.65
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+101%+$257.82
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$610.21
Powell says "inflation" 15+ times in FOMC statement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+294%+$335.58
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.24
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+117.3%+$1,962.01
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.36
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+27.1%+$9.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST100%0 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$50.4
Israel military action against Yemen before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.23
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$74.78
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,262.18
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$331.21
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.84
Will Israel target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.95
Iran military response before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+71.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+74.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$63.18
Ortega vs. Lopesbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.17
Zellhuber vs. Ribovicsbacked Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+85.6%+$19.6
Rodriguez vs. Osbournebacked Osbourne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$334.58
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+102%+$3,030.24
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.19
All 4 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+169.9%+$880.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$88.4
Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+64.3%+$50.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+73.8%+$212.74
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$289.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus beat Napoli?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.