College Football · resolved market
Will Georgia beat Kentucky?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab0151f7aa621cfeaf845b73a9626afbe4d33f118b1f7bb3b8d40b32c7f02bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Kentucky | 28c | 29,955$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,455.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Kentucky | 1c | 22,113$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Georgia | 74c | 9,302$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Kentucky | 4c | 7,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Georgia | 66c | 6,202$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.07 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Kentucky | 0c | 4,433$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Georgia | 66c | 3,844$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Georgia | 69c | 3,531$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.35 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Kentucky | 4c | 2,700$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Georgia | 71c | 2,158$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.81 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…5facbacked Kentucky | 1c | 2,074$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Georgia | 69c | 2,054$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Kentucky | 26c | 1,566$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Kentucky | 5c | 1,250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Georgia | 73c | 1,200$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Kentucky | 14c | 810.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Kentucky | 6c | 780$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…7045backed Kentucky | 21c | 712.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Georgia | 71c | 575.12$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Kentucky | 20c | 519.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Kentucky | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kentucky | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Georgia | 68c | 474.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Georgia | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Georgia | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Georgia | 71c | 302.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Kentucky | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Kentucky | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Kentucky | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Kentucky | 10c | 243.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…a5bcbacked Kentucky | 45c | 175.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…aad3backed Kentucky | 21c | 175.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Georgia | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Kentucky | 51c | 117.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Georgia | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…56fcbacked Kentucky | 38c | 84.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…50b9backed Georgia | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked Kentucky | 29c | 45.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Georgia | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed Georgia | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia beat Kentucky?this page
- Will Georgia beat Kentucky by 23 or more points?No won
- Will there be 46 or more combined points scored?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.