College Football · resolved market
Will Georgia beat Kentucky by 23 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c52682e013223da4fce5b54ce75c49ff9e255ccc83881acbf74a852c521d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 35c | 4,033$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.82 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 50c | 3,075$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,367$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 50c | 1,198$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.15 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 50c | 1,128$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked No | 49c | 543.39$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 50c | 306.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 32c | 281.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 50c | 258.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 6c | 231.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…3f7abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…a5bcbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Yes | 62c | 161.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…d8c8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 48c | 69.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ed…7b02backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…4a5abacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…c032backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…5009backed Yes | 56c | 41.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia beat Kentucky by 23 or more points?this page
- Will Georgia beat Kentucky?Georgia won
- Will there be 46 or more combined points scored?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.