TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x217e…3a4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$275.99
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$345.3
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+175.6%+$1,533.8
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+50.7%+$504.5
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$69.3
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$392
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$110
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+76.9%+$1,043
Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Colts vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will a player cry during the national anthem at Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+205.3%+$6,559.33
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$95.44
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$559.99
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$498.35
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$741.28
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$114.7
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,641Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+101.5%+$1,665.74
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$551
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$158.17
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51%+$148.24
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+76%+$268.56
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,974.6
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.99
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$89.25
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+86.4%+$211.66
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+127.7%+$465.45
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+39.2%+$1,491.12
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+44.7%+$9.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$518.81
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.58
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.55
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.02
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$140.1
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.28
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$40.8
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+86.1%+$138.99
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$948.99
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+57.4%+$801.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$57.6
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$86.12
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$22.4
Will Powell say "Variable" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100.32
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$5,921.19
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$1,158.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+336.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,743Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$778.04
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$411.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+47.1%+$850.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,043.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$770
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$815.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.