Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0bb48cbe15ac8483d5111ac41360a02eb1a4ad516ba20dbf2862651079f78ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,322,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,236,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,322,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 4c | 259,608$9,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636.33 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 28c | 139,900$38,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,838.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 1c | 128,402$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 20c | 85,156$16,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,200.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed No | 15c | 74,250$11,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,176.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 18c | 53,426$9,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,748.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 13c | 47,337$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.69 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 46,203$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 70c | 45,550$31,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,911.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 1c | 45,078$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked No | 3c | 39,484$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 74c | 37,000$27,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,433.01 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…5324backed Yes | 64c | 32,428$20,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,685.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…99b0backed Yes | 24c | 28,126$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,291.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 67c | 26,374$17,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed No | 39c | 26,367$10,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,157.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 76c | 25,067$19,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,050.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 29c | 24,497$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,263.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Yes | 26c | 19,200$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 40c | 17,532$6,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 53c | 16,377$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 25c | 14,088$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,588.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 39c | 13,015$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…0cfabacked Yes | 20c | 12,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,129.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 21c | 12,000$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,441.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…9c98backed Yes | 42c | 11,434$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 11,328$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…8794backed Yes | 27c | 11,130$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,128.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 24c | 11,064$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…5f17backed Yes | 15c | 11,000$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 47c | 10,759$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.9 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 77c | 10,500$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,071.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…c018backed Yes | 27c | 10,126$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,357.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 30c | 10,012$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,302.02 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…4291backed Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,872.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 0c | 9,558$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…90c7backed Yes | 28c | 9,397$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,732.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 57c | 8,857$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 61c | 7,649$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…42bdbacked No | 1c | 7,110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 26c | 6,854$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…7c24backed Yes | 24c | 6,395$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 28c | 6,386$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Yes | 75c | 6,304$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 25c | 6,237$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 18c | 6,072$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…55ccbacked Yes | 26c | 5,961$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…e358backed Yes | 18c | 5,864$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 77c | 5,853$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.81 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…59f0backed Yes | 24c | 5,753$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Yes | 24c | 5,650$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…7f37backed No | 1c | 5,571$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 61c | 5,555$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 71c | 5,555$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…1cccbacked Yes | 31c | 5,417$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5ee2backed Yes | 19c | 5,158$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 11c | 5,150$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,068.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…d9e9backed Yes | 40c | 5,048$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 21c | 5,038$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 3c | 5,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…3f9ebacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 16c | 4,963$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +170.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 13c | 4,940$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 38c | 4,745$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 5c | 4,735$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 21c | 4,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +372.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 7c | 4,570$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…4838backed Yes | 69c | 4,440$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 17c | 4,385$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…a440backed Yes | 28c | 4,268$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +256.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Yes | 16c | 4,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 19c | 4,194$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed No | 1c | 4,177$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 22c | 4,133$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Yes | 27c | 4,132$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 18c | 4,112$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 21c | 3,944$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4220…b0fdbacked Yes | 23c | 3,893$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…7b71backed Yes | 48c | 3,870$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…b66dbacked Yes | 62c | 3,805$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 64c | 3,608$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 29c | 3,589$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…10e8backed Yes | 28c | 3,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…3fa8backed Yes | 29c | 3,538$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 28c | 3,527$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…1685backed Yes | 19c | 3,499$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,385$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 36c | 3,297$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 16c | 3,259$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 3,217$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.18 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,186$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 67c | 3,147$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.17 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…2847backed Yes | 24c | 3,125$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 17c | 3,124$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 76c | 3,121$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.