Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e00873d02218d0b1a288fc579426bf8d85f6dd1d34c09d2c135c28d46932ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,271,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,409,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,271,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 14c | 113,404$16,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,348.1 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 2c | 113,041$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 3c | 88,612$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…20debacked Yes | 33c | 81,541$27,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,142.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 47c | 75,216$35,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,476.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 9c | 69,113$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 3c | 60,283$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 1c | 54,628$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,732$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.08 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…e67ebacked Yes | 60c | 50,393$30,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,461.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 12c | 47,257$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…b85cbacked Yes | 2c | 43,554$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 1c | 42,348$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 41,041$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 2c | 29,961$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 45c | 28,049$12,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,695.86 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 25,552$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…38ffbacked Yes | 1c | 25,420$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 46c | 21,863$10,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,028.19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 49c | 20,888$10,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,304.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 2c | 20,361$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 18,526$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.33 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 30c | 18,173$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Yes | 2c | 17,457$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…90c7backed Yes | 25c | 15,543$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 0c | 15,414$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 80c | 12,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 65c | 11,557$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.24 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 1c | 11,355$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d5dcbacked Yes | 5c | 10,303$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…1ab4backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 2c | 9,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 53c | 9,584$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…e358backed Yes | 52c | 9,559$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 1c | 9,401$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed No | 59c | 8,525$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 48c | 7,700$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…21dcbacked Yes | 2c | 7,665$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 16c | 7,531$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.23 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 1c | 7,440$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…f25fbacked Yes | 45c | 7,417$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 13c | 7,408$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…6ed6backed Yes | 1c | 7,045$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…d9e9backed Yes | 67c | 6,797$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,910$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6960…5f1bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,831$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…9528backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 48c | 5,454$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.99 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…e61abacked Yes | 2c | 5,167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 4,971$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 50c | 4,939$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 51c | 4,908$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 1c | 4,867$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 2c | 4,804$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 45c | 4,605$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 45c | 4,463$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…52acbacked Yes | 0c | 4,454$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421c…0900backed Yes | 7c | 4,375$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 4,187$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.31 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 40c | 4,155$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…1cccbacked Yes | 44c | 4,150$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 53c | 4,142$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca3…259ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,026$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…166cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 57c | 3,736$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…a25ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,694$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 1c | 3,676$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…5955backed Yes | 54c | 3,651$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed No | 55c | 3,620$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 73c | 3,600$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…fffbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,516$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…55ccbacked Yes | 19c | 3,505$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 44c | 3,500$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db5…4f57backed Yes | 48c | 3,394$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…aae7backed Yes | 1c | 3,357$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 43c | 3,290$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.13 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…10e8backed Yes | 6c | 3,279$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,245$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 46c | 3,245$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 46c | 3,235$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +188%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 10c | 3,200$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,166$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 46c | 3,152$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.56 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…b66dbacked Yes | 66c | 3,127$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…7f37backed Yes | 1c | 3,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…408dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,085$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…00f8backed Yes | 4c | 3,059$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…3ee4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,946$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 11c | 2,902$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.