Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb38635fa192748f48d28aacb7dc05f8c5777f2c8f529a6647d81fb25dfa82dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,060,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $851,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,060,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 0c | 66,075$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 9c | 62,056$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,442.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 54,521$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…2d58backed Yes | 0c | 43,870$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 6c | 36,679$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 5c | 36,097$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 26,699$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.37 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 6c | 22,595$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.2 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…90c7backed Yes | 1c | 22,331$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…cc7bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…e7d5backed Yes | 0c | 18,703$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…b745backed Yes | 0c | 18,678$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8a…61f3backed Yes | 0c | 18,643$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…4aa4backed Yes | 0c | 18,613$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 18,540$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…55ccbacked Yes | 0c | 18,336$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…c029backed Yes | 0c | 15,562$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…db3abacked Yes | 0c | 15,490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…2f37backed Yes | 0c | 15,467$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…5385backed Yes | 0c | 15,434$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…a9bfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,403$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b4…797cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,368$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750f…f2c5backed Yes | 0c | 15,345$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…32c2backed Yes | 0c | 15,322$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…ce5ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,286$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…10c7backed Yes | 0c | 15,248$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…13aebacked Yes | 0c | 15,210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebea…9caebacked Yes | 0c | 15,175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…e9f6backed Yes | 0c | 15,152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…a725backed Yes | 0c | 15,117$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…6fe9backed Yes | 0c | 15,091$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…9629backed Yes | 0c | 15,057$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87e…abcabacked Yes | 0c | 15,019$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9e67backed Yes | 0c | 14,988$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…1df8backed Yes | 0c | 14,944$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…460cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,906$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…a4babacked Yes | 0c | 14,865$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…77b4backed Yes | 0c | 14,825$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…fb15backed Yes | 0c | 14,785$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…42c9backed Yes | 0c | 14,759$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…a7b3backed Yes | 0c | 14,729$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…2f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,704$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…9833backed Yes | 0c | 14,666$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…1bcabacked Yes | 0c | 14,626$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…ab8cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,596$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…c58ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,571$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564c…949abacked Yes | 0c | 14,534$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…361fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,498$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…5844backed Yes | 0c | 14,462$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…e16abacked Yes | 0c | 14,425$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…31cabacked Yes | 0c | 14,394$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…9292backed Yes | 0c | 14,369$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…6fbabacked Yes | 0c | 14,339$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…59f0backed Yes | 5c | 14,313$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…70b6backed Yes | 0c | 14,305$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…6307backed Yes | 0c | 14,268$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e504backed Yes | 0c | 14,234$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…e50abacked Yes | 0c | 14,202$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…4badbacked Yes | 0c | 14,163$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…ef97backed Yes | 0c | 14,134$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…9aeabacked Yes | 0c | 14,102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…580ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,075$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…008bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,040$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…e7eabacked Yes | 0c | 14,012$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…d9f0backed Yes | 0c | 13,972$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…01b6backed Yes | 0c | 13,937$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…785dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…5d11backed Yes | 0c | 13,868$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…ca6ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,807$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…66bebacked Yes | 0c | 13,777$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…aa84backed Yes | 0c | 13,751$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…9197backed Yes | 0c | 13,721$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…7a75backed Yes | 0c | 13,694$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Yes | 7c | 13,447$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 5c | 12,747$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.36 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked Yes | 8c | 12,214$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,074$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 7c | 11,996$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 5c | 11,224$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…5652backed Yes | 7c | 11,209$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 8c | 10,799$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed Yes | 4c | 10,394$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…dba4backed Yes | 0c | 10,298$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 7c | 10,051$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…a159backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…52eebacked Yes | 0c | 9,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…99b0backed Yes | 4c | 8,988$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Yes | 8c | 8,520$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 6c | 7,911$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…1cccbacked Yes | 8c | 7,274$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 3c | 7,003$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…84c6backed Yes | 0c | 6,550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 6,226$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,807$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711b…fc5cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,179$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed Yes | 6c | 5,042$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 4,687$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…0e5abacked Yes | 8c | 4,587$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.