Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde935dcd837ab0430074a8546a629aa30a5c2db2e194d069d6ac655bae637ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,396,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,396,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 4c | 57,675$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 4c | 53,796$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.84 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 4c | 50,950$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.37 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 3c | 37,457$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 3c | 36,609$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.12 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 4c | 34,933$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…58dbbacked Yes | 3c | 24,586$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,558$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 18,411$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.44 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 18,000$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.29 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 4c | 14,219$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 6c | 13,453$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.31 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed Yes | 0c | 11,560$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Yes | 4c | 9,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,149$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…ad0ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,930$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 3c | 7,477$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…4974backed Yes | 5c | 5,472$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 5c | 5,449$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,461$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 3c | 4,388$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…b3ecbacked Yes | 6c | 4,351$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde07…136bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,207$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 0c | 4,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…ea38backed Yes | 1c | 3,998$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…f927backed Yes | 5c | 3,720$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 5c | 3,228$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,088$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 5c | 2,767$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,418$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,413$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 4c | 2,379$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 5c | 2,300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…c6b0backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 5c | 2,203$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 4c | 2,109$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 2,083$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,018$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 5c | 2,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 5c | 2,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 8c | 1,860$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 6c | 1,711$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Yes | 7c | 1,466$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,450$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed Yes | 7c | 1,385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e2…8d43backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…12afbacked Yes | 4c | 1,195$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 4c | 1,192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…f545backed Yes | 3c | 1,169$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…4902backed Yes | 4c | 1,076$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,015$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…3005backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 4c | 999.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 5c | 999.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 3c | 999.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 6c | 997.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 5c | 973$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…1f23backed Yes | 6c | 941.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 6c | 907.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 3c | 900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…4b4bbacked Yes | 5c | 897.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 4c | 893.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…249bbacked Yes | 3c | 879.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 5c | 811.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 4c | 808.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…4f1ebacked Yes | 6c | 784.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 7c | 762.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…fae9backed Yes | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…197dbacked Yes | 4c | 670.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed Yes | 5c | 647.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…c1cabacked Yes | 10c | 633$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853b…eff5backed Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…ef9fbacked Yes | 6c | 599.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…4d64backed Yes | 7c | 560$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…77f4backed Yes | 4c | 536.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 7c | 528.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…109abacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6d…e408backed Yes | 4c | 516.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06bc…2887backed Yes | 4c | 509.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…e86dbacked Yes | 4c | 505.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.