TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9401…e9ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+443.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$857.47
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$2,610
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+3,378.3%+$1,942.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.55
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$228
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+365.1%+$314
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$355
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$212.99
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+8,233.3%+$988
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.33
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$470
Will the Liberal Party win by 50–74 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.24
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.82
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.77
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$797.28
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$399.7
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$967.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Democrats win 65 seats or more in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$45.24
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+669.2%+$348
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+222.6%+$345
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.52
Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$315.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+1,349.3%+$558.6
FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)backed Weil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.22
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$103.5
Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+244.8%+$50
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$24
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$360
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$337
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$120
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-86%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.26
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$200.45
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Knicks vs. Timberwolves be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Knicks vs. Nuggets be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2024-04-21backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick12cpaid+94.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.5
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will the Saints draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Shedeur Sanders not be drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will another team draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+300%+$150
Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+1,017.3%+$1,821
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+525%+$630
Super Bowl LVIII: Will the Chiefs win by between 7 and 14 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$294
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Tigersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CFB: NDSU vs. Coloradobacked NDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.