Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846ce700a217ec7b75b8d078450f7e88eb5f44c76c12ae448ca10039ef4412b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,498,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,522,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,498,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,758 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,914,748$16,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,459.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 0c | 699,322$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 549,984$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a4…fa19backed Yes | 0c | 539,722$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 392,488$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 390,099$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.1 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…391abacked Yes | 0c | 341,154$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 1c | 316,293$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…6731backed Yes | 22c | 310,854$68,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,821.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…83c0backed Yes | 20c | 294,559$59,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,101.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 0c | 259,492$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 12c | 234,304$28,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,755.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked No | 78c | 222,060$173,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,346.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…0bd5backed Yes | 0c | 218,775$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 209,105$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7f27backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed No | 80c | 182,740$145,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,424.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…c3cbbacked Yes | 17c | 167,509$28,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,051.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 1c | 165,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…14a7backed Yes | 12c | 131,054$15,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,124.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 122,501$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…f175backed Yes | 5c | 121,146$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 6c | 99,382$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Yes | 24c | 97,640$23,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,517.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 90,559$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 86,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…e3f2backed Yes | 13c | 85,807$10,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,791.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 21c | 85,735$17,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,839.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…ff38backed Yes | 17c | 84,212$14,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,409.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 11c | 83,610$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,514.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…8ed6backed Yes | 3c | 75,162$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed No | 76c | 65,524$49,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,734.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…4ddebacked Yes | 3c | 64,293$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 0c | 61,619$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 11c | 54,643$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf578…4adbbacked Yes | 4c | 53,213$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…cbeabacked Yes | 21c | 52,464$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…a362backed Yes | 25c | 51,820$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,922.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 23c | 51,127$11,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,510.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 16c | 51,126$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.85 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Yes | 1c | 50,182$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…9ec3backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6cf6backed Yes | 23c | 44,378$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61da…8877backed Yes | 23c | 43,808$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Yes | 20c | 42,000$8,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,588.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…ab2abacked Yes | 24c | 41,026$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes | 22c | 38,455$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 76c | 37,132$28,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked Yes | 0c | 35,333$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 76c | 34,857$26,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,265.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 31,820$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.46 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 80c | 31,587$25,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…d199backed Yes | 27c | 28,273$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 76c | 27,153$20,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 7c | 26,578$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…f340backed Yes | 0c | 26,370$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…ddd7backed Yes | 20c | 25,042$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 24,271$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…cb78backed No | 79c | 24,000$18,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…5616backed Yes | 0c | 23,677$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 78c | 23,569$18,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Yes | 22c | 23,491$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7938…95ccbacked Yes | 1c | 23,241$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Yes | 22c | 22,433$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 21,408$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…5f44backed Yes | 1c | 21,318$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 20,829$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.38 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 20,444$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.63 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…79bfbacked Yes | 0c | 19,980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…56c2backed Yes | 22c | 19,613$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 21c | 19,377$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.77 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…f1b2backed Yes | 0c | 18,007$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…bd2bbacked Yes | 18c | 17,299$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 14c | 17,183$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…8cc4backed Yes | 1c | 17,179$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…c019backed Yes | 3c | 16,832$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 78c | 16,620$13,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…c395backed Yes | 1c | 16,251$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…1aedbacked Yes | 20c | 16,121$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked No | 78c | 16,000$12,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…2edbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…d55abacked Yes | 25c | 15,843$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…9eb8backed Yes | 2c | 15,287$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…6a15backed Yes | 19c | 14,997$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…b86dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532c…ca3cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,560$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…6581backed Yes | 20c | 14,206$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Yes | 21c | 14,152$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…8d24backed Yes | 0c | 13,667$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…9200backed Yes | 7c | 13,587$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 78c | 13,527$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 13c | 13,479$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0b…8392backed Yes | 7c | 13,446$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.