TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,399,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,319,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,399,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x921d…efb8backed Yes0c3,977,922$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,434,385$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.3990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…bd19backed Yes0c581,809$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Yes0c268,070$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c20…548abacked Yes0c266,414$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes0c203,342$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f16…35e0backed Yes0c203,341$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadd…0177backed Yes0c203,316$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc7…2d6dbacked Yes0c201,640$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f95…cd99backed Yes0c201,590$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a00…ed53backed Yes0c200,513$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes0c200,135$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f09…b474backed Yes0c200,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes0c200,018$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8b…2b76backed Yes0c199,984$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0811…bd26backed Yes0c199,977$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8265…8b0cbacked Yes0c199,964$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes0c199,639$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cd…7014backed Yes0c199,388$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ce…3811backed Yes0c198,794$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes0c195,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes0c177,643$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a3…c9b2backed Yes0c159,542$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c102,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102551.8%1 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-85.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e1…099bbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ed…7251backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd2…b7d7backed Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes0c79,970$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3c…73e8backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c49,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes0c48,773$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e2…4958backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6454…76ebbacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090e…07c7backed Yes0c35,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38b…86f3backed Yes0c33,923$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6183…9f60backed Yes0c33,400$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac6…04f7backed Yes0c32,518$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c29,944$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.691320.8%1 W · 131 L+0.5wins0.00per pick0cpaid+60.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f86…5f22backed Yes0c28,550$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78df…cd96backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bc…bb74backed Yes0c24,379$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6542…ad05backed Yes0c23,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc870…7e48backed Yes0c22,390$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3eb…1b7abacked Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe746…1763backed Yes0c21,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c7…4238backed Yes0c20,925$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c1…9de9backed Yes0c20,516$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d68…0237backed Yes0c20,315$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…4d6fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6189backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1546…32ecbacked Yes0c19,580$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4601…bffebacked Yes0c19,008$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1e…3eaabacked Yes0c18,860$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076f…9f5cbacked Yes0c18,680$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56d…2dc4backed Yes0c18,030$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8e…bae8backed Yes0c17,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b6…e30ebacked Yes0c17,690$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4614…2812backed Yes0c17,580$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc11d…2630backed Yes0c17,360$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da2…c00cbacked Yes0c17,180$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d94cbacked Yes0c17,090$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0d…0343backed Yes0c16,990$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8778…b8bfbacked Yes0c16,480$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a10…7735backed Yes0c16,440$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5310…9237backed Yes0c16,440$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef98…cef4backed Yes0c16,160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a9…2685backed Yes0c16,160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c1…a78bbacked Yes0c15,828$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…a1fabacked Yes0c15,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c25…ed99backed Yes0c15,376$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…ef9bbacked Yes0c15,290$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0705…3760backed Yes0c15,230$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1a…5251backed Yes0c15,210$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…00ecbacked Yes0c15,105$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d27…4e4abacked Yes0c15,050$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcfd…ca70backed Yes0c15,029$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f6…dbf6backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16a…1e3cbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c4…e71fbacked Yes0c14,960$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c60…32c0backed Yes0c14,930$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba9b…9ef8backed Yes0c14,920$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40fc…67bdbacked Yes0c14,749$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd6…3284backed Yes0c14,706$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ac…981ebacked Yes0c14,560$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd999…4538backed Yes0c14,550$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa847…3f69backed Yes0c14,527$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9150…e1ffbacked Yes0c14,510$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b1…2ae6backed Yes0c14,490$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423c…9927backed Yes0c14,480$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…cfc8backed Yes0c14,480$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa087…f6e8backed Yes0c14,459$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a3…412bbacked Yes0c14,449$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…14d7backed Yes0c14,420$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f2…9d70backed Yes0c14,399$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4346…7c6fbacked Yes0c14,387$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f9…493fbacked Yes0c14,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.