TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,719,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,719,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c140,703$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c103,300$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e1…099bbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6183…9f60backed Yes0c76,020$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac6…04f7backed Yes0c71,508$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes0c43,474$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31551.8%1 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-85.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe765…4ae2backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf600…f782backed Yes0c27,700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b4…489cbacked Yes0c24,470$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe556…f94bbacked Yes0c23,800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927e…a819backed Yes0c23,120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71c…2aa2backed Yes0c23,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…4d6fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6189backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…1e3cbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x358b…7ebdbacked Yes0c19,890$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709c…2e78backed Yes0c19,520$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928f…0c13backed Yes0c19,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d4…3f2abacked Yes0c19,190$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9313…d012backed Yes0c19,019$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2c…8697backed Yes0c18,766$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7984…86d5backed Yes0c18,637$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…5d1fbacked Yes0c17,760$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e30…14dbbacked Yes0c17,630$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…805bbacked Yes0c17,397$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b3…af76backed Yes0c17,330$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e10…bc5cbacked Yes0c17,240$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c17,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Yes0c16,987$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b71…1573backed Yes0c16,760$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e8…f75ebacked Yes0c16,690$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2439…4558backed Yes0c16,688$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0e…cb26backed Yes0c16,620$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc6…0c98backed Yes0c16,600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1532…a180backed Yes0c16,477$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eab…8804backed Yes0c16,310$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…7aa1backed Yes0c16,128$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…5ea6backed Yes0c15,826$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9970…d036backed Yes0c15,799$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53a3…2e38backed Yes0c15,550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079a…16d5backed Yes0c15,540$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6764…3782backed Yes0c15,110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f66…c705backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb713…e4e8backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca99…ea09backed Yes0c14,836$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00bd…b7b1backed Yes0c14,789$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff9c…1de4backed Yes0c14,768$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a58…3147backed Yes0c14,730$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ec…fc36backed Yes0c14,730$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a4a…8a09backed Yes0c14,729$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…da36backed Yes0c14,715$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71aa…dc0cbacked Yes0c14,700$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102e…b19cbacked Yes0c14,660$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc5…4663backed Yes0c14,640$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d0…1c7dbacked Yes0c14,630$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bb…29efbacked Yes0c14,616$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4315…c924backed Yes0c14,568$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…0287backed Yes0c14,550$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ced…6098backed Yes0c14,536$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703f…fecfbacked Yes0c14,520$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa276…9c39backed Yes0c14,519$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…6cecbacked Yes0c14,506$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf619…d8bdbacked Yes0c14,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…3138backed Yes0c14,495$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85dc…ffb2backed Yes0c14,488$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cad…d3abbacked Yes0c14,476$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868a…8169backed Yes0c14,475$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…9959backed Yes0c14,468$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fa…dd09backed Yes0c14,467$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x636c…c72fbacked Yes0c14,460$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9a…1088backed Yes0c14,450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1c…c701backed Yes0c14,440$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a99…2eddbacked Yes0c14,440$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc592…6e23backed Yes0c14,440$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…4793backed Yes0c14,435$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000b…ea4fbacked Yes0c14,430$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc4…2176backed Yes0c14,425$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e03…e0ddbacked Yes0c14,420$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046e…b156backed Yes0c14,416$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2481…b5f3backed Yes0c14,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdae…a0f1backed Yes0c14,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ad…a167backed Yes0c14,396$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…581dbacked Yes0c14,389$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…9344backed Yes0c14,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4f…50e6backed Yes0c14,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34d…2dd1backed Yes0c14,370$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…36b1backed Yes0c14,370$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…0945backed Yes0c14,367$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f96…0e09backed Yes0c14,357$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec0…b549backed Yes0c14,350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b22…493fbacked Yes0c14,348$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7f…9a8cbacked Yes0c14,330$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…5a33backed Yes0c14,320$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce73…98bbbacked Yes0c14,316$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf995…be11backed Yes0c14,298$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ca…f00fbacked Yes0c14,278$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…9733backed Yes0c14,260$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e9…27fabacked Yes0c14,230$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.