TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,755,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,152,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,755,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebba…38e2backed Yes10c1,102,777$105,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,285.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes7c860,000$62,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,162.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d28…e0c3backed Yes7c585,490$39,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,660.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1e…757ebacked Yes19c530,974$98,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,916.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes0c478,471$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes9c449,170$41,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,585.132147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce5…3707backed Yes0c444,902$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036e…9276backed Yes0c424,471$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.462737%10 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5379…0eabbacked Yes12c389,014$46,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,660.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafc8…424cbacked Yes10c378,177$38,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,983.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes7c374,833$25,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,237.244650%23 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+32.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0522…545dbacked Yes12c327,608$39,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,414.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes6c325,448$18,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,768.72922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd364…d498backed Yes11c320,790$34,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,396.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes10c319,920$30,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,672.7450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3d…12e7backed Yes7c310,570$20,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,201.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes6c292,820$18,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,457.3470%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes1c275,480$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.741323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…713abacked Yes7c273,069$19,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,943.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes2c270,870$5,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,887.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes15c270,003$39,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,156.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes7c249,424$18,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,061.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda7e…c1eebacked Yes8c249,000$19,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,987.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed Yes13c247,323$31,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,379.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…e553backed Yes7c243,739$16,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,711.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes7c239,270$15,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,769.854729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…5e4bbacked Yes5c234,871$12,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,843.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes8c222,461$18,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,606.592420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd18f…681ebacked Yes12c217,292$25,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,547.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes12c215,542$26,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,570.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ff…73aabacked Yes5c214,167$10,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,590.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…4393backed Yes4c197,991$8,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,733.321127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes7c195,966$14,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,428.65812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-80%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes11c188,503$21,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,505.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf492…3061backed Yes5c173,849$9,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,162.911513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-12.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d1b…6e75backed Yes7c160,052$10,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,837.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Yes5c153,791$7,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,972.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes6c153,277$8,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,453.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes7c152,648$11,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,243.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes6c145,145$8,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,251.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd0a…c642backed Yes8c142,251$11,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,077.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes7c141,089$9,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,658.38224.5%1 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-81.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fb0…bfc1backed Yes1c139,600$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f48…d632backed Yes7c139,587$9,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,816.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc284…55dbbacked Yes18c138,912$24,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,848.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…8de3backed Yes22c137,225$29,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,804.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c137,112$9,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,929.382638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…ac84backed Yes14c132,910$18,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,670.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes8c132,375$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.982944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes9c130,775$11,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,433.345145.1%23 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+103%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5273…d975backed Yes8c127,420$10,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,273.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes9c127,385$12,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,024.655545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b9…403dbacked Yes1c125,028$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.9860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes6c124,458$7,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,976.371346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes10c124,272$12,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,821.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974c…cbeabacked Yes6c121,907$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yes18c120,532$21,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,828.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…4973backed Yes11c120,432$13,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,291.75944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes7c119,409$8,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,273.3580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes15c118,659$17,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,426.741526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d3…3dbdbacked Yes3c117,657$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c9…5769backed Yes4c116,816$5,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,08910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…2e3cbacked Yes9c116,502$10,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,85020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb130…070dbacked Yes9c114,158$9,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,973.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4599…d638backed Yes9c112,496$9,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,897.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes8c112,431$8,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,469.73737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Yes4c111,847$4,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,196.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes10c111,546$10,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,620.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yes12c110,172$12,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,94510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd538…b9fdbacked Yes7c110,000$7,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,430.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb06…43e2backed Yes0c110,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a0…bed9backed Yes9c109,448$9,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,755.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188d…84edbacked Yes11c109,147$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d46…6233backed Yes11c106,462$11,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,666.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6728…c796backed Yes7c105,856$6,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,973.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…0126backed Yes8c105,778$8,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,467.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes7c105,135$7,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,464.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf578…4adbbacked Yes7c103,643$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,242.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc4…3a12backed Yes10c102,528$10,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,047.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa56…f232backed Yes9c101,742$9,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,077.92540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+89%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Yes6c101,424$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes6c101,161$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.435841.4%24 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Yes17c100,000$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,900475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes11c99,500$10,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,835.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff6…dc59backed Yes11c99,376$11,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,070.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Yes5c99,318$4,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes6c99,126$5,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,597.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16f…d125backed Yes5c98,333$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes9c97,153$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,400.46175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-91.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8096…762cbacked Yes7c95,346$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,397.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6127…8f23backed Yes0c91,762$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…ac52backed Yes11c90,548$10,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,263.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes10c86,773$8,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,911.8780%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26a4…af3fbacked Yes12c86,028$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,995.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfce…4b49backed Yes9c85,855$7,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,99610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes7c85,521$6,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,072.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ea…ded9backed Yes11c82,177$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,798.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes7c82,038$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3929…990fbacked Yes0c82,000$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5c…6e42backed Yes7c81,802$5,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,385.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.