TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7020…fd20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,869.21
Daniel Muñoz: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$506.25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$227.81
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$750
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$936.67
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$359.42
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$784
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,501
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.4%+$3,696.83
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+229.9%+$2,874.15
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$2,158.54
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$819
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,631Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$2,130.41
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$6,954.54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,895
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$553.62
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$799.74
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137
Houthi strike on Israel before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$923
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$499
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+306.4%+$3,922.56
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$258.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$240.06
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+138.2%+$207.37
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$178
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$199.44
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$268.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+264.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+155.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38%+$515.98
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$374
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114.9%+$3,792.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$25.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.