TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No20c95,734$18,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,704.294,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes69c40,031$27,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,271.694942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes70c25,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Yes71c14,180$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No30c10,057$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.023930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No31c9,090$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c8,613$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.4690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.979625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c6,654$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.827321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No30c6,428$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.253441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No32c6,322$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No30c5,670$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.977922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes71c4,575$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.693145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No48c4,310$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.7460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No31c4,215$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.729450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c3,382$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.8774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c3,343$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.4469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes72c3,213$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.712564%16 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9306546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes70c2,823$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.947468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes57c2,702$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.841338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No41c2,333$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3613054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No4c2,069$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.466235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.992433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c1,980$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.123,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes44c1,800$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0078143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No31c1,774$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.1153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes71c1,690$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.14837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No29c1,540$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.0138729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No32c1,478$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.517252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…47eebacked Yes70c1,476$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No31c1,459$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2923250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9293452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e2…5c27backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.573467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5710250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da8…fe8dbacked Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No30c1,345$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4415851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes61c1,310$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.7113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No46c1,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.124450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No32c1,177$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No32c1,153$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes69c1,081$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.8914244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes38c1,070$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.6812251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No34c1,070$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No32c1,030$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4724047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes70c942.86$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.863275%24 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Yes45c899.99$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Yes47c896.51$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.152356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dbd…ceeabacked No31c890.32$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2765451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No23c888.2$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.358125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes70c859.77$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.934240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No51c820$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes70c807.14$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252050%10 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.292360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No15c697$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3229038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes39c607.69$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.693243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No22c599.45$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1815051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes61c584.31$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes68c576.04$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3328055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…e0e1backed Yes42c561.41$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes67c550$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No15c549.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes52c546.9$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c526.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No31c503.81$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No31c502.9$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.91770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3844…e714backed Yes69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No30c499.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…50ffbacked Yes71c479.27$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes69c432.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.711070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes42c430$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.42737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes47c429.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.791520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Yes70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes38c416$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes70c406.06$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.821080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes71c378.63$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.86237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes53c374.11$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.837142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes70c364.56$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.371850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes64c345.68$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No19c334.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12425%6 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No30c313$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes66c300$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes70c284.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.491942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf733…d6e8backed Yes64c280.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No59c264.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.13964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No30c260.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2616926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.