TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7fa…ad31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$136.93
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.92
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$166.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$238.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$153.8
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+488.2%+$224.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$33.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$45
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$33.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$45
Will FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+82.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.72
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+34.9%+$278.83
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$48.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.