Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d68338b8647571f523a76939f874ea81bee11f21e76996a2d24d4c021c839bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 47c | 9,543$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.55 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 6,114$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,664$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.68 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 4,737$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.03 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 46c | 4,266$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.32 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 13c | 3,227$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.55 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 9c | 3,003$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 2,982$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 67c | 2,891$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.67 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed Yes | 60c | 2,594$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,916$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 1,623$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.49 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 41c | 1,614$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.23 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 1,482$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 52c | 1,478$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 49c | 1,320$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.21 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 44c | 1,144$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 44c | 1,075$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.28 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 69c | 1,014$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked Yes | 48c | 999.66$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 10c | 988.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 70c | 888$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.71 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 797.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…a948backed Yes | 70c | 590$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 60c | 562.95$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 557.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…04c5backed Yes | 43c | 517.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 67c | 449.1$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 48c | 417.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 40c | 396$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 67c | 388.06$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 52c | 382.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 14c | 343.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 69c | 300.22$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…3797backed Yes | 6c | 279.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 63c | 250.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…8a57backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 34c | 184$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 48c | 176.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 15c | 168.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…8382backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…9423backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c326backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 14c | 129.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 45c | 114.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes | 62c | 105.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 61c | 105.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…3f95backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…651fbacked Yes | 15c | 97.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 47c | 96.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…19d8backed Yes | 70c | 95.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…2c3fbacked Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…b9fdbacked Yes | 47c | 85.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…c90dbacked Yes | 67c | 82.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Yes | 69c | 77.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 52c | 77.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 13c | 76.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 67c | 74.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 58c | 62.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…dbfdbacked Yes | 52c | 57.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 46c | 43.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed No | 44c | 37.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Yes | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…9101backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…4ac4backed Yes | 70c | 32.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…1bfcbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 61c | 28.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…6083backed Yes | 67c | 25.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…0da3backed Yes | 70c | 22.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 55c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…2003backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…80bdbacked Yes | 70c | 15.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.