TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6926…a128

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$90.14
Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+545.8%+$109.17
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-79%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+89%+$29.36
Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$29.97
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.54
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.43
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+41.9%+$11.72
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.