MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7898e74feb588bb752d5a2b4b5bc06b6441173e51f90bc6e5401445b98d643e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 52c | 88,708$46,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,128.21 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Brewers | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 25c | 22,892$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.73 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 51c | 20,835$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.73 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 49c | 15,306$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.12 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Brewers | 50c | 9,795$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Cubs | 53c | 9,157$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 53c | 9,091$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.14 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cubs | 39c | 9,001$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.86 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Brewers | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 48c | 7,824$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.48 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 8c | 7,633$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.64 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs | 36c | 4,863$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.15 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Cubs | 52c | 4,298$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 47c | 4,044$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cubs | 52c | 3,400$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Brewers | 62c | 3,378$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cubs | 22c | 3,125$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.91 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 42c | 3,035$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Brewers | 69c | 3,015$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 38c | 2,857$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 30c | 2,759$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 58c | 2,356$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Brewers | 48c | 2,110$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 48c | 2,087$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.37 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 66c | 1,763$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 63c | 1,756$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,593$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.6 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 28c | 1,416$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.55 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 55c | 1,330$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cubs | 20c | 1,216$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Brewers | 47c | 1,208$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cubs | 23c | 1,086$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 51c | 1,026$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Brewers | 49c | 793.88$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 56c | 780.68$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Brewers | 49c | 612.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Cubs | 53c | 610.78$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Brewers | 40c | 606.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cubs | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 50c | 599.88$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Cubs | 54c | 580$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Cubs | 52c | 576.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Cubs | 52c | 564$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Brewers | 43c | 532.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 58c | 531.28$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Brewers | 48c | 521.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Brewers | 49c | 515.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.93 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Brewers | 48c | 505.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.04 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Brewers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 48c | 485.05$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 2c | 461.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Brewers | 47c | 453.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 46c | 450$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 50c | 449.38$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 48c | 434.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 47c | 429.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Cubs | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Brewers | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 49c | 306.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers | 49c | 303.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…c465backed Brewers | 42c | 280$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 46c | 279.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5e16backed Brewers | 60c | 257.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 58c | 254.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Brewers | 79c | 253.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 41c | 243.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Brewers | 42c | 239.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Brewers | 49c | 230$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cubs | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers | 48c | 206$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…4869backed Brewers | 48c | 201.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Brewers | 41c | 201$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cubs | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…1bd9backed Brewers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…4cfcbacked Brewers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cubs | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 52c | 192.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 58c | 190.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Cubs | 19c | 188.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 60c | 188.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.