TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed32…20d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT6538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$724.86
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,353.77
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$598.9
Reds vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,189.07
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+145.4%+$592.5
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.27
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.35
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Giants vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$731
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$576
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$352
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$355
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$182.26
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.22
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,113.94
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,260.01
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,292.04
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180.32
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+88.3%+$527.29
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.3
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$312.76
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,250
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,760
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$675
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs SAW (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$640
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$560.1
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$481.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$535.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$725
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$570
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$558.18
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,420
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$531.11
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$748.92
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$640
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$580.79
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$528.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs paiN (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+136.2%+$865
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs fnatic (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$700
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$926.87
Thunderpick WC: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Venombacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$795
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$160
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$820
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$330
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$525
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$465
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,035
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$466.12
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,880
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$7.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.5%+$31.01
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,100
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$205.9
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will Eric Adams endorse Sliwa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.68
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,494Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$1,516.98
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,648.75
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,779Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$8,708.23
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.97
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$934.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-50.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,110.05
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$43.12
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$225.82
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$4,874.46
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$1,779.35
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.25
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$640
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$735
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$332.64
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,125
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$472.65
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$405
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$435
Rolex Paris Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machacbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$437.95
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$414.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,820
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$960
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$680
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$905.16
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$776.44
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$310
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,260
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. Ultra Primebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$425.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+163.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$105
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,075
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$460
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,886Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+112.7%+$2,125.04
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$697.46
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.5
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$1,235.22
Illinois vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$297.52
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$899.54
Ohio vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,360.65
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,362.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,031.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.