Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d861cc088a1b07dda25ca7adc6fc19a2b7f09a2a3ec85bae3a534d446ae426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 4,506$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 41c | 2,999$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.59 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 39c | 2,062$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.17 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 1,074$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.77 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 33c | 603.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 29c | 410$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Under | 68c | 252.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Over | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 43c | 232.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…e5aabacked Under | 60c | 211.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Over | 25c | 209.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 25c | 195.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…ffd0backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 43c | 125.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 58c | 110.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 58c | 94.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 43c | 78.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…9054backed Over | 43c | 68.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…bb61backed Over | 42c | 62.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Under | 59c | 60.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Under | 60c | 57.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…f2afbacked Over | 42c | 50.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…0231backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…c81abacked Over | 43c | 48.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed Over | 43c | 37.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…3c19backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…ebccbacked Over | 43c | 35.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 64c | 28.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Lazio (-0.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.