Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1146aedc7d829f1666e31eb4f76cc7cf5f44d4266f8df3b09a0a2ab2581f4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 50c | 2,105$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 1,319$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.96 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 50c | 706.7$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…e4dabacked Yes | 50c | 397.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 55c | 299.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…a590backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…f0babacked Yes | 50c | 42.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 49c | 37.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 51c | 37.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…3fe3backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…02abbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Lazio (-0.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.