TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87ba…e7ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.67
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakovbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.17
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.92
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Hersonissos 2: Petr Nesterov vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$12.13
Cherbourg: Matteo Martineau vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.01
BNP Paribas Open: Varvara Gracheva vs Lilli Taggerbacked Varvara Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Kigali: Florent Bax vs Gabriele Pennafortibacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.01
Hersonissos: Lukas Neumayer vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.67
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.53
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$30.02
Sabalenka vs. Keys: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$18.73
Kasatkina vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$31.75
Mannarino vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$15.55
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.87
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.53
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.51
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$30.11
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.42
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$106.56
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.31
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.01
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$130.03
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.2
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.41
Will the Cavaliers beat the Heat 4-0backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.6
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.06
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.12
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$41.61
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59.46
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$18.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-5.7wins-0.44per pick59cpaid-71.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.48
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68.38
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$73.88
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67.87
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.97
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.25
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$21.35
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$87.38
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$46.22
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20.94
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+49.3%+$6.91
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$21.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$9.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$131.91
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.14
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$57.03
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.1%+$13.52
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$15.44
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$165.45
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$47.98
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$33.79
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.13
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$7.14
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.99
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$169.39
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$82.22
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$82.35
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51.85
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.08
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54.36
SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.04
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+168.5%+$122.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.15
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$31.94
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.87
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.79
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$41.74
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$21.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.11
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$107.22
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$22.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.79
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$76.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+35.6%+$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$103
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Playoffsbacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.