Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8db21abbc7f445c68a5d7b0f31d84c064f89d3c9c7f3f40ec86930a33151be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,171$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 41c | 999.99$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 818.25$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 17c | 499.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Over | 23c | 224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Over | 74c | 210$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 191.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 40c | 114.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 56c | 108.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 97.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 74c | 94.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 58c | 93.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked Over | 71c | 84.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Over | 74c | 70.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 67.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf675…dfbfbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 72c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 73c | 17.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.