TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ff2…1c10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
355
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$215.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$8.76
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$25.35
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$12.8
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+98%+$19.79
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$11.64
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$14.94
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.5
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.53
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$81.7
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$106.72
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+114.9%+$24.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.11
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.38
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$40.13
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Santos FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$21.8
CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$26.4
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.82
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$23.29
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$42.09
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.73
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$22.5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+204.2%+$26.85
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.75
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
SK Brann vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.29
GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.8
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$13.6
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.99
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$54
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+136.7%+$23.1
Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$68.58
Vitória SC vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$29.15
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)backed FC Arouca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$28.56
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.6
CD Tondela vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.37
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$373.52
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$74.2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+111.5%+$74.33
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$10
NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.81
Will Manchester United vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$63.27
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.33
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.