Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fbac0083ef184a3c0aeee974863c2ba57cc008949fc6b22125bf073215cce13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 69c | 17,417$12,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.39 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 31c | 12,778$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.1 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,677$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 1,670$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 64c | 1,568$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 70c | 1,332$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.11 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 1,200$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.36 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 1,090$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.81 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…6be7backed Over | 48c | 814.35$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 688.37$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 73c | 629.83$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 594.59$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 506$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 67c | 505.05$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 425.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 391.4$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 366.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 316.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 63c | 253.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 29c | 221.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 196.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 57c | 176.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 136.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 129.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 72c | 105.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 38c | 103.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 75c | 95.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 32c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 60c | 84.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 37c | 65.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 65.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 70c | 62.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 60.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 50c | 58.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 71c | 55.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 65c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…fe55backed Over | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 74c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 54c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 46c | 22.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 57c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 68c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Over | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.