TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc09…fe55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.41
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.07
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+95.5%+$22.07
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.07
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.54
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.43
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$17.69
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$37.49
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.16
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+164.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.1%+$10.51
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Korda (+1.5)backed Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$14.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+67.8%+$16.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Syracuse Orange (-1.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.