NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1f7780a3a0b3af99b9e517f035b2b1fd067995442d27c989040518c42874e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 141,399$66,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,941.25 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 48c | 126,000$60,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,438.66 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 48c | 107,011$51,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,489.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 92,898$49,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,235.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 67,528$35,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,114.65 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves | 53c | 60,906$32,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,114.23 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 52c | 59,294$30,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,832.67 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves | 52c | 58,914$30,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,635.38 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Mavericks | 48c | 27,698$13,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,402.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 22,695$11,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,706.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 48c | 18,587$8,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,665.05 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 17,643$9,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,043.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 16,757$8,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,713.75 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Timberwolves | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 9,138$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.28 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,500$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.1 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,026$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,892$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,298$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.87 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,268$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.78 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4d7ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,012$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,900$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.29 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,689$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,532$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.07 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,405$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,050$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…a488backed Timberwolves | 50c | 806$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…f2c5backed Mavericks | 50c | 797$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 786.78$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.79 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 48c | 730.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 708.25$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 690.32$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.82 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 682.69$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Timberwolves | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 48c | 601.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 56c | 549.42$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 455.69$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 443.25$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…ef15backed Timberwolves | 53c | 435$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Mavericks | 49c | 426.53$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 49c | 405$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Timberwolves | 53c | 395.28$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 49c | 382.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Timberwolves | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 365.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 51c | 349.48$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 37c | 334.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 332.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 296.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 288.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Timberwolves | 51c | 268.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mavericks | 49c | 241$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 233.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 48c | 201.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mavericks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 57c | 193.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Timberwolves | 53c | 169.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Mavericks | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves | 53c | 158.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Timberwolves | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2781…0b3bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 143.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Timberwolves | 71c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mavericks | 49c | 139.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Mavericks | 79c | 134.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 133.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Mavericks | 49c | 130.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Mavericks | 48c | 122.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 31c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Mavericks | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Mavericks | 47c | 109.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 47c | 108.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 49c | 105.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 105.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.