TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79b0…ea3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST15154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$308.4
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$599.2
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$470.8
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$597.8
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$490.48
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$598.9
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$601.8
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$599.4
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$602.8
Spurs vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$578.2
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$596.7
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$540.28
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$599.5
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+110.6%+$664.2
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$434.7
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$535.8
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+130.2%+$651.2
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$278.4
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.88
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$32.68
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$84
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$129.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$124.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$147.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$154.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.