NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05de785ec34cbfceba4989225c39d8e940eea1f20cb62e4b3a7b80824241da29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,487,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,385,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,487,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 63c | 632,000$400,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,301.04 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Panthers | 37c | 332,179$123,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,273.99 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Panthers | 37c | 300,000$111,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,999.98 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 63c | 109,165$68,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,797.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,999.98 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Panthers | 37c | 80,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,199.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Panthers | 35c | 60,410$21,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,143.36 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lightning | 63c | 55,597$35,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,571.05 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 35c | 46,313$15,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,998.4 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 0c | 44,109$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 33c | 41,050$13,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,514.18 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 0c | 35,412$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…2a89backed Lightning | 66c | 31,000$20,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Panthers | 35c | 28,300$9,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,905 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 64c | 27,394$17,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.84 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Panthers | 36c | 24,999$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.8 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…41e1backed Panthers | 0c | 21,349$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Panthers | 32c | 20,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Panthers | 35c | 16,600$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Lightning | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Panthers | 38c | 15,805$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,975.46 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Panthers | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Panthers | 37c | 14,999$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.81 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Panthers | 35c | 14,779$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.34 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lightning | 63c | 11,111$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.07 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Panthers | 0c | 10,533$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Lightning | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Lightning | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Panthers | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers | 24c | 9,922$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.5 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…7aebbacked Panthers | 36c | 9,218$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 63c | 9,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…8255backed Lightning | 63c | 8,630$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…e6a0backed Lightning | 63c | 8,213$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Panthers | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Panthers | 35c | 7,704$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.62 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers | 37c | 7,000$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.02 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Panthers | 0c | 6,223$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 37c | 5,793$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.41 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Panthers | 0c | 5,600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers | 37c | 5,546$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.34 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 62c | 5,500$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.97 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers | 34c | 5,381$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Panthers | 34c | 5,322$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.32 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers | 0c | 5,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Panthers | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Panthers | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lightning | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lightning | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.45 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Lightning | 63c | 4,046$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.09 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Panthers | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Panthers | 37c | 3,250$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Panthers | 37c | 3,243$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Lightning | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 78c | 3,086$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.71 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Panthers | 34c | 3,043$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.49 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Panthers | 35c | 3,017$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.51 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 64c | 2,890$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Panthers | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 62c | 2,558$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 66c | 2,504$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.57 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Panthers | 35c | 2,435$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Lightning | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers | 36c | 2,015$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Panthers | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lightning | 63c | 1,896$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.23 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 63c | 1,755$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.75 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 62c | 1,545$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.08 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Panthers | 36c | 1,532$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Lightning | 63c | 1,491$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Panthers | 1c | 1,450$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Panthers | 9c | 1,415$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Panthers | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Lightning | 63c | 1,397$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Panthers | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Panthers | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943e…9f08backed Lightning | 64c | 1,310$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Lightning | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 13c | 1,200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 65c | 1,073$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.82 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Panthers | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Panthers | 34c | 1,024$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lightning | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Lightning | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.05 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Panthers | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Panthers | 37c | 899.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Lightningthis page
- Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.