TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5555…2af1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT21446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 214 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+331%+$12,082.69
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,409.4
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$752.74
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$691.04
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$728.06
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.73
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.68
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.54
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.96
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.96
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.75
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.94
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.95
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,839.72
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.55
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,488.38
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.7
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,682.57
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,643.36
Showing 25 of 214 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$84.87
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,268.18
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,120
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,760
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,355.3
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.88
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,750
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,059.95
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.99
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,019.99
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,759.97
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$4,440
Lightning vs. Wildbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,360
Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.78
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,640
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,783.17
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,699.96
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,279.99
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,159.93
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,820
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,939.96
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,839.99
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,644.28
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.68
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$5,018.24
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.81
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,195.56
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,913Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,245.24
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,428.57
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,120
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,450.33
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,539.98
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,239.97
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,092.74
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,279.99
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$6,480
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,877.54
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,564.66
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,939.06
Furman Paladins vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$560.37
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$846.38
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$2,000
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$216
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25,000
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,880
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+300%+$3,000
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$2,160
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$503.7
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,880
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$1,600
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,080
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$2,040
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,980
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$97.93
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,051.9
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,042Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$2,495.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$12,237.25
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,866Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$9,865.54
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,451.11
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,850
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,566Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$7,937.21
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,878.06
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,266.78
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,799.96
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,019.99
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,048.5
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,720
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$6,200
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,200
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$2,235.1
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480.79
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,346.44
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,168.92
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36,978.88
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$2,960
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+119.8%+$6,539.99
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,680
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$5,879.99
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+102.9%+$1,970.23
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+131.5%+$11,360
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,456
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.8
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$604.66
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$555.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+137.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+238.4%+$3,061.64
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23,006Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$8,509.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,904.57
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,160
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,848Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$4,098.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,550
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$5,139.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.