TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,053 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c60,918$29,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,068.3617742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under51c46,525$23,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,72114346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c36,912$18,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,760.894348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Under49c23,055$11,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,296.8460949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2003141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c18,474$9,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,752.2912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over47c18,403$8,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,753.4110045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over51c7,750$3,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.54540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c4,956$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.1319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over50c4,956$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.137753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c4,699$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.095,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c4,682$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.732,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…5c87backed Over48c4,462$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c4,259$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.4611456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over46c4,158$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.242236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over50c4,029$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.2113343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c3,908$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.3718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9b…484dbacked Under51c3,412$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c2,974$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.8821248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c2,920$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.4118556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9905356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under53c1,983$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.766342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over50c1,832$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.187643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over49c1,626$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.0815858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7353751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over50c1,365$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.48444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under55c1,346$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.0222349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55014447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under54c1,034$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2410437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.417550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over50c1,019$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.594860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over50c1,013$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5412344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.095639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…c974backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c941.72$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.091,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under51c759.6$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.392729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over50c693.44$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.726142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c458.21$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.591,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over49c453.32$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1916546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over48c444.6$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.191,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c404.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.341,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over48c375.03$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0125544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c262.85$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.84,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over50c248.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.186765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26eb…c940backed Over50c228.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.291442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c198.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa4…3b47backed Under50c180.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x935e…6a6bbacked Over51c180.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over51c179.21$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.414153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over50c174.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.357962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fbc…8bf1backed Under50c172.32$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…7820backed Over51c170.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under50c166.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.825942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3a…3e2dbacked Over51c165.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864f…5c71backed Under50c156.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Under64c153.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…c158backed Under50c148.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over48c141.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7110749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c1…41fcbacked Over51c141.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Under51c140.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under52c139.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3510458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over43c136.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.913740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c132.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.421850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Under57c130.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3614051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c127.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1629650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over48c120.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0427650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be8…0425backed Under51c109.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.854240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over49c108.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.363943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Over48c103.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.697045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Over43c99.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.952544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under57c99.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5121455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c99.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5562451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under56c89.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5113457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Under54c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.523138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under41c87.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Under49c86.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.262231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d65…4072backed Over46c86.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.611080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over46c77.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8915559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a73…5650backed Over49c69.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.691844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Under55c69.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over49c66.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5410045%45 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over47c64.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Over48c61.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.221844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Over51c61.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.452326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c61.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over49c60.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.989552.6%50 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over49c60.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.959952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over49c60.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over49c60.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.957162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c59.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c51.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.848551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c47.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.260954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.