Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfdb6b5ce22d9e8260ec92f02cc60ab99472c5af9654d231008889f07c285a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,446 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 6,100$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 4,331$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.47 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,438$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 1,738$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.46 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,336$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.41 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 53c | 297.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 294.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Under | 49c | 203.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 192.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 58c | 93.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 44.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 159.5this page
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 161.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.