Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e7fca33008a2d8590e2806f0a95fcd6695abd53e3fa5ca505b6b86c6719c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,651 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 52c | 21,847$11,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,341.92 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.97 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 48c | 11,688$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 48c | 9,430$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.82 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,950$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.21 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 48c | 5,769$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 48c | 4,253$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,591$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Over | 48c | 2,285$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.18 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 2,265$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.09 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over | 49c | 2,062$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,997$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.4 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Over | 48c | 1,305$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 1,233$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.4 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Over | 50c | 982$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 920.35$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 870.03$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.27 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 631.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.35 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 52c | 515.71$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 495.63$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 49c | 401.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Over | 49c | 350.9$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 289.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 52c | 185.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 53c | 140.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 138.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 48c | 124.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 52c | 104.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 101.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 93.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Under | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 51c | 59.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 62c | 59.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 55c | 55.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 54.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Under | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 53c | 48.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 48.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 58c | 48.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 56c | 41.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 36c | 40.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 38c | 38.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Over | 48c | 38.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…2927backed Over | 53c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 36.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 48c | 33.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 26.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…4854backed Under | 53c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 53c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 52c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5this page
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 159.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 161.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5Over won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.