TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7473…89ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70%+$34.99
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.28
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.4
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$36.45
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$77.72
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$59.43
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$218.38
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$183.45
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.04
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.37
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.27
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.27
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$16.73
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$39.8
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$14.52
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$40.74
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.73
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-5.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.9
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.72
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-3.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$24.47
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.11
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.45
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$65.09
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-12.5)backed Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$65.68
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.