NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b3e4dec0ff5ce5b545e9507334501db4778a8d575c93c7e90ec328868c5ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 50c | 26,446$13,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,208.68 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 50c | 9,300$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 50c | 7,328$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 4,523$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,928$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 50c | 2,767$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 53c | 2,518$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,016$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,730$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.47 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,303$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 1,056$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.2 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 34c | 901$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.78 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 866.47$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.24 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 824$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.49 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 786.17$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 607.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 47c | 461.37$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.53 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Under | 51c | 450$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 69c | 403.49$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 49c | 386.72$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 380.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 51c | 294.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 50c | 251.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 36c | 249.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…2685backed Under | 51c | 242.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 49c | 239.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 236.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 54c | 226.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 221.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…28e3backed Under | 51c | 213$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…025cbacked Under | 50c | 177$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 163.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7d09backed Over | 50c | 159.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…24a9backed Over | 50c | 158.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…9c88backed Over | 49c | 155.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…7c6cbacked Over | 50c | 155.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…ef4fbacked Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…2957backed Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…2849backed Under | 50c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 150.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…22d2backed Over | 50c | 148.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…9c94backed Over | 50c | 146.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…e494backed Under | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…4e03backed Over | 49c | 141.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd999…141bbacked Over | 49c | 140.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…ebedbacked Under | 51c | 136.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 136.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…ab5bbacked Under | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…48c2backed Over | 49c | 135.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694b…9825backed Over | 49c | 132.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…4931backed Over | 49c | 132.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…2846backed Over | 50c | 132.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa612…93c1backed Over | 49c | 130.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…6c4ebacked Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…a1cabacked Over | 49c | 128.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…b64bbacked Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…d98ebacked Under | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 109.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 54c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 102.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 99.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 98.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 82.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Under | 75c | 80.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…d1dfbacked Under | 50c | 70.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…f171backed Under | 51c | 58.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 50c | 58.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Over | 49c | 54.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1074backed Over | 51c | 52.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 66c | 50.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…723cbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 50c | 43.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. Golden KnightsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.