TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacf7…a5ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Wong (+1.5)backed Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Barletta: Felix Gill vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Set 1 Winner: Skatov vs Echarguibacked Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.14
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Yokkaichi: Liam Broady vs Rio Noguchibacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Sao Paulo: Juan Bautista Torres vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Naples: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Miami Open: Lilli Tagger vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Alexandre Muller vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.95
Miami Open: Alexandra Eala vs Laura Siegemundbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$18.78
Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)backed Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Set Handicap: Lys (-1.5) vs Starodubtseva (+1.5)backed Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.27
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Miami Open: Sara Bejlek vs Talia Gibsonbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Belleville Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.34
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Schwenninger Wild Wingsbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
KHL: Traktor vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$25.09
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Calgary Wranglersbacked Henderson Silver Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.94
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Lada Togliatti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
DEL: Iserlohn Roosters vs. ERC Ingolstadtbacked Iserlohn Roosters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.54
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.35
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$26.08
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.