TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$755,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,439 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers59c268,264$157,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,593.2267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Panthers41c238,168$97,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,519.195352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Oilers59c125,759$74,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,197.6310050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers41c98,525$40,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,205.71,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Oilers59c75,307$44,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,238.3424349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Oilers59c61,209$36,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,113.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Panthers41c60,000$24,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,399.9748545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Panthers41c50,000$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,499.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers41c48,908$20,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,655.9722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Panthers41c40,000$16,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,60022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Oilers59c34,160$20,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,154.448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers59c19,343$11,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,412.1541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers41c18,000$7,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,709.771,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Panthers41c15,470$6,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,073.9414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers42c14,468$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,423.2361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers59c13,000$7,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,67026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Panthers41c12,500$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,374.8632946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers59c12,071$7,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,063.891,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers59c11,617$6,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.961,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers42c7,710$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.131,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Oilers60c6,667$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Panthers41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.9713948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers42c5,000$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.8860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Panthers42c4,971$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.4313446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Panthers42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0301758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers42c3,119$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.0585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers11c3,069$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34817442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Oilers59c2,561$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.7445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers4c2,542$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers41c2,514$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.1763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Panthers42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Oilers59c2,491$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.6459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers58c2,114$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.1286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x808c…b77ebacked Panthers41c1,966$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Oilers57c1,898$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.6883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers41c1,689$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.4491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Oilers60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers56c1,582$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.2124749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers58c1,580$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.2960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers43c1,275$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.921,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Oilers60c1,217$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7302536%9 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Oilers59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7082254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Oilers18c1,177$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6522250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Panthers41c1,087$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.3384953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c79…04a8backed Panthers42c990$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oilers5c928.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.111,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Panthers43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51348050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Oilers59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Oilers59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9acc…6c7fbacked Oilers59c834$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.061758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Oilers60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers5c832.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6338046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…8b52backed Panthers42c809$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d8…4df8backed Oilers59c746$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Panthers44c687$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.6236648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3d…9056backed Oilers59c660$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2833…19e7backed Panthers42c650$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347f…f0efbacked Oilers59c650$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Oilers59c602.2$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Panthers42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34828447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Oilers58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34845749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Panthers42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2429946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Oilers59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd174…c897backed Oilers59c578$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.022152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Oilers60c572.2$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3229448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Panthers43c570.46$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6914140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Panthers41c524$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1626551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a8…9339backed Panthers42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Oilers60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Panthers42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Oilers6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Oilers4c499.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Panthers41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.83951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Oilers54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24338555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers40c447.27$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6f…e6adbacked Panthers42c440$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2d…cff3backed Oilers59c440$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…a285backed Panthers42c435$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Oilers21c420.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.66352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d9…e72dbacked Panthers42c403$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.741361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Oilers60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012649.2%62 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94c…cfe1backed Oilers59c396$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.648453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8803…cd6ebacked Panthers42c396$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.688145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a33…d997backed Panthers42c380.5$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.691844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d7…0412backed Panthers42c375.5$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.791338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Oilers59c367.1$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5939757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Panthers42c363.74$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9738645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0acc…9dc1backed Panthers42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1425052.8%132 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Panthers46c352.95$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5920447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Oilers59c340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.67556%42 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1b…5afdbacked Oilers59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015053.3%80 W · 70 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Panthers42c338$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0410548.6%51 W · 54 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Oilers59c331$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5333…5c36backed Oilers59c330$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1742…37ebbacked Panthers42c303$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.745137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.