NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fea88678c424009d15b67199aeedbda253330e38345dccb23cbb53c2768a4d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,924 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 47c | 34,295$16,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,173.59 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 26,893$12,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,988.57 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 48c | 26,300$12,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,675.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 18,722$9,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,735.68 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 11,000$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.97 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 53c | 10,450$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 8,409$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.06 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 7,057$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.68 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 6,834$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 6,072$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 3,833$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.49 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Under | 48c | 3,758$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 2,829$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.3 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 47c | 2,022$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.78 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Under | 47c | 1,831$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 1,753$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.09 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 1,668$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.95 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 47c | 1,526$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 47c | 1,525$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Over | 52c | 1,394$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 956.13$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 46c | 917.79$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.61 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Under | 48c | 859.81$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 54c | 827.78$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 724.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 719$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.07 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 48c | 706.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 47c | 639.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 561$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.44 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 54c | 509.26$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Under | 46c | 441.3$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 50c | 432.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 46c | 402.17$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Over | 51c | 358.31$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 258.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 53c | 247.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Under | 50c | 232.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 74c | 230.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 71c | 219.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…dacdbacked Under | 47c | 219.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…8052backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 49c | 200.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…c8aabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Under | 47c | 151$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 139$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 132.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Over | 53c | 117.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Under | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 52c | 81.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 52c | 74.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 67.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 53c | 63.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 63.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…b136backed Over | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 58.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 54c | 58.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 48c | 53.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 43c | 44.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 52c | 43.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 41.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Over | 52c | 41.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…b4aebacked Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. OilersPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.