TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x128a…a1b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$441
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+102%+$510.1
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$164.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$819
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$104.83
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$880.43
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$496.37
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.02
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.32
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,482.22
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$222.43
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$896.49
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.02
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$404.25
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$565.79
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$284.99
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.65
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$692.31
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$356.72
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.29
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$209.09
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.53
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.4
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110.02
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.5
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$363
Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$339.16
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$210.14
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$263.51
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$312.36
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.6
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$495.63
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.65
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+397.2%+$397.19
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$151.6
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$414.86
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$204.93
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$360.86
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$346.8
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+50%+$300.47
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.62
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.51
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.74
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.1%+$308.7
Clemson Tigers vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$228
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$202.95
Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.17
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$838.4
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.9
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.38
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.71
Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.77
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$265.93
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$349.63
Spread: New York Mets (-5.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.42
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.69
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.