NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78a41d3b7c9a70dc77071da7b06334705f1c30dade4b03fa2db8a1a72b5df77c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,299$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.91 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +8.7wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +97%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 50c | 3,421$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,931$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.76 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 2,869$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.68 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed No | 45c | 980$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 52c | 930.38$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 361.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 48c | 332.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 283.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 49c | 251.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 51c | 236.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…c804backed Yes | 50c | 210.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes | 44c | 161.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Yes | 51c | 157.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed No | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 46c | 110.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Yes | 53c | 93.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 45c | 80.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 51c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 47c | 79.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 48c | 71.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…13c5backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked No | 56c | 53.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 52c | 52.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 135 | 39.3%53 W · 82 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 48.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…becfbacked Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394d…f8b1backed Yes | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked No | 52c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…0cb3backed Yes | 52c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 49c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Yes | 50c | 26.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Yes | 50c | 24.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked No | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…cc0bbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…06b2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…4f4bbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…1fc0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.