TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Under56c4,000$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.6528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over51c2,810$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.3812741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over77c2,433$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9513464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under69c2,161$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c2,098$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over53c1,904$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.7452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under32c1,540$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.681,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under32c1,429$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.216445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over69c1,210$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.13568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over71c1,175$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7813759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over67c1,038$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5221640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4125360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over38c1,023$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.5868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over71c986.65$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6520352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c982.06$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.2352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under47c969.02$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.444050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under31c714.91$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under64c620.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c530.4$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over8c492.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over68c455.88$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.881060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1365843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c399.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under32c382.47$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.393740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83d…c57ebacked Over80c378.58$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under20c350.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under20c333$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.653945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c313.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Under73c302.83$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under31c300.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c281.22$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.321,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23031238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Over68c249.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over69c240$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.333767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under59c201.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.888138.3%31 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Under55c197.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.084261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c196.95$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c187$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.412,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under20c167$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.426639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed Over70c162.46$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over31c161.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Under32c154$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.285147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4546346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Under20c149.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.922638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c142.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x740b…647abacked Over68c129.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.413953.8%21 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Over69c128.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9911259.8%67 W · 45 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under32c128.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under55c121.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Over68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6539864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked Over68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.653565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Over80c117.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.465763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over35c117.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under41c111.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.816653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d59…6441backed Over38c102.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over47c99.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8910743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over47c99.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8910746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Over36c97.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over14c87.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over41c84.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.773056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over67c83.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over69c80.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.023164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over68c75.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under31c75.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under29c73.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4413747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e90…a79ebacked Over69c73.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.893174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Over34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5311232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over70c71.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.941872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over66c71.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3512254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Under63c71.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under33c64.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.315152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1a…283ebacked Over37c61.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Under67c58.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under26c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.224936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over47c57.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.698843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.