NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc4eebf58dabf85caba4f081548515d36ffad72197b8684493ce955369cac74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Knicks | 26c | 3,753$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.78 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,000$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Knicks | 5c | 1,330$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 747.06$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks | 5c | 707.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Knicks | 19c | 531.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 24.8%37 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Knicks | 25c | 399.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cavaliers | 75c | 397.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Knicks | 26c | 394.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks | 26c | 389.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Knicks | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Knicks | 17c | 262.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Knicks | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Knicks | 25c | 199.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Knicks | 25c | 196.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Knicks | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Knicks | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d60abacked Knicks | 17c | 115.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed Cavaliers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 26c | 89.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Knicks | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 24c | 66.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Knicks | 19c | 66.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Cavaliers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…b626backed Knicks | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Cavaliers | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 32.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Cavaliers | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…8c37backed Cavaliers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cavaliers | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 74c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.